Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.114965 2.429043 2.776945 3.191438 3.672553 4.214268 4.871681
2025-05-18 1.619736 2.033672 2.537414 3.198010 4.045137 5.099877 6.520279
2025-05-25 1.315718 1.752645 2.318801 3.110869 4.197927 5.648346 7.748363
2025-06-01 1.152192 1.610801 2.236420 3.159745 4.500592 6.396487 9.315035
2025-06-08 1.035910 1.509737 2.185472 3.230198 4.824185 7.196089 11.051459
2025-06-15 0.927433 1.401779 2.105161 3.238200 5.044482 7.857724 12.659667
2025-06-22 0.820630 1.280996 1.987692 3.168531 5.126549 8.304060 13.973693
2025-06-29 0.737649 1.186135 1.896925 3.125595 5.238897 8.802755 15.432504
2025-07-06 0.662922 1.095350 1.801078 3.059781 5.299405 9.213728 16.784978
2025-07-13 0.638700 1.084840 1.834973 3.216312 5.761070 10.375384 19.668087
2025-07-20 0.590748 1.028275 1.783699 3.215069 5.935498 11.034549 21.685473
2025-07-27 0.563424 1.004731 1.786946 3.311713 6.301132 12.093308 24.644715
2025-08-03 0.518092 0.949144 1.735910 3.319101 6.533573 12.999686 27.608591
2025-08-10 0.475860 0.895712 1.684989 3.325126 6.775608 13.986893 30.991643
2025-08-17 0.427905 0.825345 1.592665 3.234329 6.801474 14.521603 33.456304
2025-08-24 0.401181 0.793234 1.570978 3.285275 7.135893 15.775031 37.844746
2025-08-31 0.379463 0.768511 1.560859 3.358719 7.530000 17.224885 43.006503
2025-09-07 0.353902 0.732834 1.523635 3.367061 7.775478 18.366463 47.617781
2025-09-14 0.324130 0.684913 1.454803 3.294434 7.817959 19.022845 51.075829
2025-09-21 0.299712 0.645950 1.401064 3.249677 7.921455 19.848046 55.174427
2025-09-28 0.275976 0.605983 1.340662 3.181076 7.954814 20.497684 58.910296
2025-10-05 0.270540 0.606797 1.373183 3.344243 8.612100 22.920492 68.467434
2025-10-12 0.254567 0.581523 1.341985 3.342947 8.831627 24.178004 74.713338